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Main Street Capital Corporation

MAIN

NYSE·Financial Services·Asset Management·Mkt cap $4.8B

$51.91

-0.21%

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Our plain-language verdict, the thesis, risk factors, and what is changing about the business.

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52-Week Range

$48.95 - $67.77

P/E

10.93

Fwd P/E

13.64

Beta

0.73

Div Yield

8.25%

Avg Vol

720.8K

Shares Out

90.1M

Mkt Cap

$4.8B

Price action

Price chart

Down 13.5% over the trailing year

1W
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
MAX

Total returns

Price performance

Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.

Why we rate it this way

The thesis at a glance

Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.

Bull Case

6 reasons

  • Specialized expertise in underserved lower middle market segment ($5M-$300M revenue companies)
  • Integrated equity and debt financing platform providing one-stop capital solutions
  • Experienced management team with deep operational and investment banking backgrounds
  • Flexible investment structures accommodating minority to majority equity positions
  • Diversified portfolio across 20+ high-growth industries reducing concentration risk
  • Direct access to deal flow through established relationships with entrepreneurs and business owners

Bear Case

2 risks

  • Low volatility (beta 0.7).
  • Premium valuation to Asset Management peers

Growth

Revenue decline expected

Expansion of lower middle market financing demand as traditional banks retreat from segment

Value

Premium valuation to Asset Management peers

Momentum

Stable

-1.2% over 3m

Quality

Excellent

Excellent business quality

Dividend

High yield

8.25% yield

Earnings track record

Recent earnings results

AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.

Next: Apr 30, 2026

Q2 26 RECAP

MAY 7, 2026

Reported EPS of $0.93 vs $1.04 consensus (-10.6% surprise). Revenue of $140.1M vs $145.2M expected (-3.5%).

EPS miss
Revenue miss

EPS surprise · last 4Q

0 of 1 beats

Q2 26

-10.6%

Next: Apr 30, 2026

Revenue trend · last 8Q

+22%

+5%

+12%

-0%

+8%

-4%

Q2 24

Q3 24

Q4 24

Q1 25

Q2 25

Q3 25

Q4 25

Q1 26

$129.5M

$151.5M

$187.2M

$170.7M

$177.4M

$183.7M

$202.9M

$163.5M

Margins · last 8Q

Gross

Operating

Profit

29.9%

Wall Street consensus

3 analysts · 67% Buy

Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.

Buy

2

67%

Hold

1

33%

Sell

0%

Median Price Target

$53.00

+2.1% vs $51.91

Low $50.00
Median $53.00
High $58.00

Latest: Wells Fargo · $50.00 · May 22, 2026

3 analysts covering

vs Industry

How MAIN stacks vs Asset Management

Stock metrics vs industry averages. Green = better than industry.

Industry comparison data unavailable for this stock.