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TERN

Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

TERN

NASDAQ·Healthcare·Biotechnology·Mkt cap $4.8B

$52.95

-0.03%

View full research view

Our plain-language verdict, the thesis, risk factors, and what is changing about the business.

View research view

52-Week Range

$2.66 - $53.19

P/E

-51.41

Fwd P/E

-44.73

Beta

-0.38

Div Yield

0.00%

Avg Vol

5.9M

Shares Out

90.1M

Mkt Cap

$4.8B

Price action

Price chart

Up 1220.5% over the trailing year

1W
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
MAX

Total returns

Price performance

Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.

Why we rate it this way

The thesis at a glance

Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.

Bull Case

3 reasons

  • Proprietary liver-distributed drug candidates with enhanced metabolic stability and reduced systemic side effects
  • Diversified pipeline targeting multiple biological pathways (FXR, VAP-1, THR-β, GLP-1) for NASH and metabolic diseases
  • Oral formulation approach for GLP-1 agonist (TERN-601) offering potential advantages over injectable competitors

Bear Case

1 risk

  • Low volatility (beta -0.4).

Growth

Revenue decline expected

Expanding NASH market with no FDA-approved treatments and estimated patient population exceeding 16 million in the US

Value

Deep value opportunity - significant discount to Biotech & Therapeutics peers

Momentum

Strong

+13.8% over 3m

Quality

Loss-making

Mixed fundamentals

Dividend

None

No dividend

Earnings track record

Recent earnings results

AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.

Next: May 6, 2026

LATEST RECAP

Earnings recap unavailable for this period.

EPS surprise · last 4Q

Q4 25

-$0.24

Q3 25

-$0.27

Q2 25

-$0.26

Q1 25

-$0.26

Next: May 6, 2026

Revenue trend · last 8Q

Q1 24

Q2 24

Q3 24

Q4 24

Q1 25

Q2 25

Q3 25

Q4 25

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

$0

Margins · last 8Q

No margin history available.

Wall Street consensus

7 analysts · 14% Buy

Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.

Buy

1

14%

Hold

6

86%

Sell

0%

Median Price Target

Latest: Oppenheimer · Apr 27, 2026

vs Industry

How TERN stacks vs Biotechnology

Stock metrics vs industry averages. Green = better than industry.

Industry comparison data unavailable for this stock.