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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
CAKE
NASDAQ·Consumer Cyclical·Restaurants·Mkt cap $4.0B
$78.24
▼ -1.76%
View full research view
Our plain-language verdict, the thesis, risk factors, and what is changing about the business.
View research view52-Week Range
$43.07 - $80.93
P/E
Fwd P/E
Beta
Div Yield
Avg Vol
Shares Out
Mkt Cap
Price action
Price chart
Up 22.0% over the trailing year
Total returns
Price performance
Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.
Why we rate it this way
The thesis at a glance
Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.
Bull Case
5 reasons
- Iconic brand recognition and customer loyalty built over 50+ years
- Vertically integrated bakery operations providing cost control and product differentiation
- Diverse menu offerings and generous portion sizes driving customer satisfaction
- Multi-brand portfolio (The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Fox Concepts) serving different market segments
- Established supply chain and distribution network for bakery products
Bear Case
1 risk
- Average volatility.
Growth
Stable outlook
Expansion of restaurant locations in underpenetrated markets
Value
Fairly valued vs Restaurants & Food Service peers
Momentum
Hot
+44.2% over 3m
Quality
Excellent
Excellent business quality
Dividend
Modest
1.43% yield
Smart-money signal
Who's buying CAKE right now
Insider Form 4s, 13F institutional filings, and Congressional disclosures - at a glance.
Earnings track record
Latest print - beat on both lines
AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.
Next: Apr 28, 2026
APR 29, 2026
Reported EPS of $1.05 vs $1.03 consensus (+1.9% surprise). Revenue of $978.8M vs $964.6M expected (+1.5%). Beat on both top and bottom lines.
EPS surprise · last 4Q
1 of 1 beats
Q2 26
+1.9%
Next: Apr 28, 2026
Revenue trend · last 8Q
—
—
+5%
+4%
+6%
+5%
+4%
+6%
Q2 24
Q3 24
Q4 24
Q1 25
Q2 25
Q3 25
Q4 25
Q1 26
$904.0M
$865.5M
$921.0M
$927.2M
$955.8M
$907.2M
$961.6M
$978.8M
Margins · last 8Q
Gross
—
Operating
—
Profit
5.1%
Wall Street consensus
7 analysts · 29% Buy
Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.
Buy
29%
Hold
43%
Sell
29%
Median Price Target
$65.00
▼ -16.9% vs $78.24
Latest: Citi · Jun 15, 2026
7 analysts covering