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CF

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

CF

NYSE·Basic Materials·Agricultural Inputs·Mkt cap $16.6B

$110.54

+2.20%

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Our plain-language verdict, the thesis, risk factors, and what is changing about the business.

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52-Week Range

$75.42 - $141.96

P/E

9.92

Fwd P/E

14.97

Beta

0.38

Div Yield

1.85%

Avg Vol

3.2M

Shares Out

153.6M

Mkt Cap

$16.6B

Price action

Price chart

Up 15.3% over the trailing year

1W
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
MAX

Total returns

Price performance

Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.

Why we rate it this way

The thesis at a glance

Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.

Bull Case

4 reasons

  • Large-scale production capabilities
  • Extensive global distribution network
  • Advanced manufacturing technologies
  • Strong relationships with agricultural cooperatives

Bear Case

2 risks

  • Low volatility (beta 0.4).
  • Premium valuation to Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals peers

Growth

Mild headwinds expected

Rising global food security needs

Value

Premium valuation to Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals peers

Momentum

Weak

-16.8% over 3m

Quality

Strong

Exceptional business - top-tier fundamentals

Dividend

Modest

1.85% yield

Earnings track record

Latest print - beat on both lines

AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.

Next: May 5, 2026

Q2 26 RECAP

MAY 6, 2026

Reported EPS of $2.89 vs $2.63 consensus (+9.9% surprise). Revenue of $2.0B vs $1.8B expected (+8.0%). Beat on both top and bottom lines.

EPS beat +9.9%
Rev beat +8.0%
Double beat

EPS surprise · last 4Q

1 of 1 beats

Q2 26

+9.9%

Next: May 5, 2026

Revenue trend · last 8Q

-3%

+13%

+20%

+21%

+23%

+19%

Q2 24

Q3 24

Q4 24

Q1 25

Q2 25

Q3 25

Q4 25

Q1 26

$1.6B

$1.4B

$1.5B

$1.7B

$1.9B

$1.7B

$1.9B

$2.0B

Margins · last 8Q

Gross

Operating

Profit

31.0%

Wall Street consensus

12 analysts · 33% Buy

Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.

Buy

4

33%

Hold

6

50%

Sell

2

17%

Median Price Target

$129.00

+16.7% vs $110.54

Low $115.00
Median $129.00
High $145.00

Latest: Scotiabank · Jun 30, 2026

4 analysts covering

vs Industry

How CF stacks vs Agricultural Inputs

Stock metrics vs industry averages. Green = better than industry.

Industry comparison data unavailable for this stock.