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FWRG

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.

FWRG

NASDAQ·Consumer Cyclical·Restaurants·Mkt cap $743.6M

$12.05

+2.99%

P/E

42.46

Mkt Cap

$743.6M

52-Wk Range

$9.97–$18.82

52-Week Range

$9.97 - $18.82

P/E

42.46

Fwd P/E

104.83

Beta

1.03

Div Yield

0.00%

Avg Vol

1.2M

Shares Out

61.1M

Mkt Cap

$743.6M

Price action

Price chart

Down 34.0% over the trailing year

Total returns

Price performance

Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.

Why we rate it this way

The thesis at a glance

Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.

Bull Case

5 reasons

  • Strong brand recognition in breakfast and brunch daypart
  • Established multi-state footprint with 435+ locations
  • Dual revenue model combining company-owned and franchise operations
  • Made-to-order fresh food concept with customer loyalty
  • Experienced management team with 40+ year operating history

Bear Case

2 risks

  • Average volatility.
  • Extreme premium - high expectations embedded

Growth

Stable outlook

Expansion of company-owned restaurant locations

Value

Extreme premium - high expectations embedded

Momentum

Strong

+16.5% over 3m

Quality

Stable

Strong fundamentals

Dividend

None

No dividend

Earnings track record

Recent earnings results

AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.

Next: Nov 3, 2026

Q3 26 RECAP

AUG 4, 2026

Reported EPS of $0.04 vs $0.05 consensus (-24.0% surprise). Revenue of $354.7M vs $351.6M expected (+0.9%).

EPS miss
Rev beat +0.9%

EPS surprise · last 4Q

0 of 1 beats

Estimate

Actual

Q3 26

-24.0%

Revenue trend · last 8Q

+8%

+16%

+19%

+26%

+20%

+17%

+15%

Q3 24

Q4 24

Q1 25

Q2 25

Q3 25

Q4 25

Q1 26

Q2 26

$251.6M

$263.3M

$282.2M

$307.9M

$316.0M

$316.4M

$331.0M

$354.7M

Margins · last 8Q

Gross

76.7%

Operating

9.5%

Profit

0.7%

Wall Street consensus

5 analysts · 100% Buy

Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.

Buy

5

100%

Hold

0%

Sell

0%

Median Price Target

Latest: Citi · Aug 5, 2026

vs Industry

How FWRG stacks vs Restaurants

Stock metrics vs industry averages. Green = better than industry.

Industry comparison data unavailable for this stock.