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The GEO Group, Inc.
GEO
NYSE·Industrials·Security & Protection Services·Mkt cap $4.1B
$30.25
▼ -0.26%
View full research view
Our plain-language verdict, the thesis, risk factors, and what is changing about the business.
View research view52-Week Range
$12.51 - $30.68
P/E
Fwd P/E
Beta
Div Yield
Avg Vol
Shares Out
Mkt Cap
Price action
Price chart
Up 23.1% over the trailing year
Total returns
Price performance
Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.
Why we rate it this way
The thesis at a glance
Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.
Bull Case
5 reasons
- Long-term government contracts providing stable, recurring revenue streams
- Integrated GEO Continuum of Care platform offering comprehensive rehabilitation and treatment services
- Operational scale and expertise across secure facilities, electronic monitoring, and reentry services
- Established relationships with federal, state, and local government agencies
- Proprietary compliance and monitoring technologies for community supervision
Bear Case
2 risks
- Average volatility.
- Significant premium - growth priced in
Growth
Stable outlook
Increasing demand for alternative sentencing and community-based supervision programs
Value
Significant premium - growth priced in
Momentum
Hot
+64.7% over 3m
Quality
Strong
Excellent business quality
Dividend
None
No dividend
Smart-money signal
Who's buying GEO right now
Insider Form 4s, 13F institutional filings, and Congressional disclosures - at a glance.
Earnings track record
Latest print - beat on both lines
AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.
Next: May 5, 2026
MAY 6, 2026
Reported EPS of $0.29 vs $0.19 consensus (+52.6% surprise). Revenue of $705.2M vs $688.9M expected (+2.4%). Beat on both top and bottom lines.
EPS surprise · last 4Q
1 of 1 beats
Q2 26
+52.6%
Next: May 5, 2026
Revenue trend · last 8Q
—
—
-0%
-0%
+5%
+13%
+16%
+17%
Q2 24
Q3 24
Q4 24
Q1 25
Q2 25
Q3 25
Q4 25
Q1 26
$607.2M
$603.1M
$607.7M
$604.6M
$636.2M
$682.3M
$707.7M
$705.2M
Margins · last 8Q
Gross
—
Operating
—
Profit
5.4%
Wall Street consensus
1 analyst · 100% Buy
Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.
Buy
100%
Hold
0%
Sell
0%
Median Price Target
—
Latest: Jones Trading · Mar 20, 2026