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GO

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

GO

NASDAQ·Consumer Defensive·Grocery Stores·Mkt cap $987.2M

$10.39

+4.11%

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Our plain-language verdict, the thesis, risk factors, and what is changing about the business.

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52-Week Range

$5.66 - $19.41

P/E

-2.67

Fwd P/E

12.63

Beta

0.67

Div Yield

0.00%

Avg Vol

3.2M

Shares Out

98.2M

Mkt Cap

$987.2M

Price action

Price chart

Down 23.7% over the trailing year

1W
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
MAX

Total returns

Price performance

Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.

Why we rate it this way

The thesis at a glance

Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.

Bull Case

5 reasons

  • Independent operator model enabling localized decision-making and community relationships
  • Discount pricing strategy attracting value-conscious consumers
  • Treasure-hunt merchandising creating frequent customer visits and loyalty
  • Efficient supply chain leveraging independent store networks
  • Strong brand recognition in eight-state footprint with 75+ year heritage

Bear Case

1 risk

  • Low volatility (beta 0.7).

Growth

Turning profitable

Geographic expansion into new markets and additional states

Value

Attractively priced below Food Retail & Grocery peer average

Momentum

Hot

+38.2% over 3m

Quality

Stable

Solid business

Dividend

None

No dividend

Earnings track record

Latest print - beat on both lines

AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.

Next: May 4, 2026

Q2 26 RECAP

MAY 13, 2026

Reported EPS of $0.05 vs $0.02 consensus (+150.0% surprise). Revenue of $1.2B vs $1.2B expected (+1.4%). Beat on both top and bottom lines.

EPS beat +150.0%
Rev beat +1.4%
Double beat

EPS surprise · last 4Q

1 of 1 beats

Q2 26

+150.0%

Next: May 4, 2026

Revenue trend · last 8Q

+11%

+9%

+5%

+5%

+11%

+4%

Q2 24

Q3 24

Q4 24

Q1 25

Q2 25

Q3 25

Q4 26

Q1 26

$1.1B

$1.1B

$1.1B

$1.1B

$1.2B

$1.2B

$1.2B

$1.2B

Margins · last 8Q

Gross

Operating

Profit

-15.8%

Wall Street consensus

7 analysts · 0% Buy

Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.

Buy

0%

Hold

6

86%

Sell

1

14%

Median Price Target

$9.00

-13.4% vs $10.39

Low $9.00
Median $9.00
High $9.00

Latest: TD Cowen · May 14, 2026

2 analysts covering

vs Industry

How GO stacks vs Grocery Stores

Stock metrics vs industry averages. Green = better than industry.

Industry comparison data unavailable for this stock.