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GPRE

Green Plains Inc.

GPRE

NASDAQ·Basic Materials·Chemicals - Specialty·Mkt cap $1.1B

$15.51

▼ -2.21%

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Our plain-language verdict, the thesis, risk factors, and what is changing about the business.

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52-Week Range

$6.56 - $18.94

P/E

-53.48

Fwd P/E

108.57

Beta

1.19

Div Yield

0.00%

Avg Vol

1.5M

Shares Out

69.8M

Mkt Cap

$1.1B

Price action

Price chart

Up 142.9% over the trailing year

1W
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
MAX

Total returns

Price performance

Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.

Why we rate it this way

The thesis at a glance

Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.

▲

Bull Case

4 reasons

  • Vertically integrated supply chain with grain procurement, production, and distribution capabilities
  • Extensive infrastructure including 29 ethanol facilities, 4 fuel terminals, and 2,300+ railcars
  • Co-product revenue streams (distiller grains, corn oil) that enhance profitability and reduce commodity price exposure
  • Strategic geographic positioning in major corn-producing regions with established market relationships
▼

Bear Case

2 risks

  • Average volatility.
  • Extreme premium - high expectations embedded

Growth

Turning profitable

Increasing U.S. renewable fuel mandates and global ethanol demand

Value

Extreme premium - high expectations embedded

Momentum

Weak

-6.5% over 3m

Quality

Thin

Strong fundamentals

Dividend

None

No dividend

Earnings track record

Recent earnings results

AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.

Next: May 4, 2026

“
Q2 26 RECAP

MAY 7, 2026

Reported EPS of $0.42 vs -$0.01 consensus (+4300.0% surprise). Revenue of $445.8M vs $532.5M expected (-16.3%).

EPS beat +4300.0%
Revenue miss

EPS surprise · last 4Q

1 of 1 beats

Q2 26

+4300.0%

Next: May 4, 2026

Revenue trend · last 8Q

—

—

-18%

+1%

-11%

-23%

-27%

-24%

Q2 24

Q3 24

Q4 24

Q1 25

Q2 25

Q3 25

Q4 25

Q1 26

$618.8M

$658.7M

$584.0M

$601.5M

$552.8M

$508.5M

$428.8M

$455.2M

Margins · last 8Q

Gross

—

Operating

—

Profit

7.2%

View full earnings history →

Wall Street consensus

4 analysts · 50% Buy

Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.

Buy

2

50%

Hold

2

50%

Sell

0%

Median Price Target

$20.00

▲ +28.9% vs $15.51

Low $20.00
Median $20.00
High $20.00

Latest: Stephens · $20.00 · May 8, 2026

2 analysts covering

View full analyst page →

vs Industry

How GPRE stacks vs Chemicals - Specialty

Stock metrics vs industry averages. Green = better than industry.

Industry comparison data unavailable for this stock.