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Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
HCC
NYSE·Energy·Coal·Mkt cap $4.1B
$79.33
▲ +1.37%
View full research view
Our plain-language verdict, the thesis, risk factors, and what is changing about the business.
View research view52-Week Range
$47.88 - $110.39
P/E
Fwd P/E
Beta
Div Yield
Avg Vol
Shares Out
Mkt Cap
Price action
Price chart
Up 55.5% over the trailing year
Total returns
Price performance
Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.
Why we rate it this way
The thesis at a glance
Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.
Bull Case
5 reasons
- High-quality non-thermal metallurgical coal reserves in Alabama
- Established long-term contracts with major international steel producers
- Dual revenue streams from coal and natural gas byproduct sales
- Strategic geographic location with efficient transportation access to export markets
- Operational expertise in underground mining with two producing mines
Bear Case
2 risks
- Low volatility (beta 0.6).
- Growth premium of 0.5x vs Diversified Mining peers. Reasonable for this growth rate.
Growth
Strong growth ahead
Rising global steel demand from infrastructure and construction projects
Value
Growth premium of 0.5x vs Diversified Mining peers. Reasonable for this growth rate.
Momentum
Weak
-17.5% over 3m
Quality
Stable
High-growth business (11% revenue growth, 38% gross margin). Profitable with strong growth momentum.
Dividend
Token
0.41% yield
Smart-money signal
Who's buying HCC right now
Insider Form 4s, 13F institutional filings, and Congressional disclosures - at a glance.
Earnings track record
Recent earnings results
AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.
Next: Apr 28, 2026
APR 30, 2026
Reported EPS of $1.37 vs $1.41 consensus (-2.8% surprise). Revenue of $458.6M vs $467.6M expected (-1.9%).
EPS surprise · last 4Q
0 of 1 beats
Q2 26
-2.8%
Next: Apr 28, 2026
Revenue trend · last 8Q
—
—
-18%
-40%
-25%
+0%
+29%
+53%
Q2 24
Q3 24
Q4 24
Q1 25
Q2 25
Q3 25
Q4 25
Q1 26
$396.5M
$327.7M
$297.5M
$299.9M
$297.5M
$327.9M
$384.1M
$458.6M
Margins · last 8Q
Gross
98.2%
Operating
17.3%
Profit
15.8%
Wall Street consensus
4 analysts · 100% Buy
Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.
Buy
100%
Hold
0%
Sell
0%
Median Price Target
—
Latest: Citi · Jun 10, 2026