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MAT

Mattel, Inc.

MAT

NASDAQ·Consumer Cyclical·Leisure·Mkt cap $4.0B

$13.34

-2.91%

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Our plain-language verdict, the thesis, risk factors, and what is changing about the business.

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52-Week Range

$13.17 - $22.48

P/E

8.50

Fwd P/E

8.44

Beta

0.73

Div Yield

0.00%

Avg Vol

4.5M

Shares Out

302.2M

Mkt Cap

$4.0B

Price action

Price chart

Down 33.1% over the trailing year

1W
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
MAX

Total returns

Price performance

Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.

Why we rate it this way

The thesis at a glance

Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.

Bull Case

4 reasons

  • Iconic, multi-generational brand portfolio with strong consumer loyalty and nostalgia value
  • Extensive entertainment licensing partnerships with major studios (Disney, Warner Bros., NBCUniversal)
  • Diversified distribution network spanning retail, e-commerce, and direct-to-consumer channels
  • Integrated content and digital strategy combining traditional toys with streaming and gaming experiences

Bear Case

1 risk

  • Low volatility (beta 0.7).

Growth

Moderate growth ahead

International market expansion, particularly in emerging markets with growing middle-class consumers

Value

Undervalued - trading well below sector peers

Momentum

Stable

-4.3% over 3m

Quality

Strong

Strong fundamentals

Dividend

None

No dividend

Earnings track record

Latest print - beat on both lines

AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.

Next: Jul 22, 2026

Q2 26 RECAP

APR 29, 2026

Reported EPS of -$0.20 vs -$0.24 consensus (+16.7% surprise). Revenue of $862.2M vs $808.4M expected (+6.7%). Beat on both top and bottom lines.

EPS beat +16.7%
Rev beat +6.7%
Double beat

EPS surprise · last 4Q

1 of 1 beats

Q2 26

+16.7%

Next: Jul 22, 2026

Revenue trend · last 8Q

-6%

-6%

+7%

+4%

Q2 24

Q3 24

Q4 24

Q1 25

Q2 25

Q3 25

Q4 25

Q1 26

$1.1B

$1.8B

$1.6B

$826.6M

$1.0B

$1.7B

$1.8B

$862.2M

Margins · last 8Q

Gross

44.1%

Operating

-9.8%

Profit

7.1%

Wall Street consensus

7 analysts · 43% Buy

Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.

Buy

3

43%

Hold

3

43%

Sell

1

14%

Median Price Target

$18.00

+34.9% vs $13.34

Low $18.00
Median $18.00
High $18.00

Latest: Wells Fargo · $18.00 · Apr 30, 2026

1 analyst covering

vs Industry

How MAT stacks vs Leisure

Stock metrics vs industry averages. Green = better than industry.

Industry comparison data unavailable for this stock.

Related

Peers & themes

Peers

No peer data available.

Themes

No themes assigned.