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NLY
NYSE·Real Estate·REIT - Mortgage·Mkt cap $16.3B
$22.48
▲ +1.26%
View full research view
Our plain-language verdict, the thesis, risk factors, and what is changing about the business.
View research view52-Week Range
$19.24 - $24.52
P/E
Fwd P/E
Beta
Div Yield
Avg Vol
Shares Out
Mkt Cap
Price action
Up 14.9% over the trailing year
Total returns
Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.
Why we rate it this way
Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.
Bull Case
5 reasons
Bear Case
2 risks
Growth
Revenue decline expected
Net interest margin expansion from strategic asset allocation
Value
Growth premium of 0.9x vs Mortgage REITs peers. Reasonable for this growth rate.
Momentum
Stable
+3.9% over 3m
Quality
Excellent
High-growth business (500% revenue growth, 99% gross margin). Profitable with strong growth momentum.
Dividend
High yield
12.84% yield
Smart-money signal
Insider Form 4s, 13F institutional filings, and Congressional disclosures - at a glance.
Earnings track record
AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.
Next: Jul 21, 2026
APR 21, 2026
Reported EPS of $0.76 vs $0.74 consensus (+2.7% surprise). Revenue of $341.6M vs $665.7M expected (-48.7%).
EPS surprise · last 4Q
1 of 1 beats
Q2 26
+2.7%
Next: Jul 21, 2026
Revenue trend · last 8Q
—
—
+254%
-49%
+4171%
+1125%
+232%
+567%
Q2 24
Q3 24
Q4 24
Q1 25
Q2 25
Q3 25
Q4 25
Q1 26
$41.9M
$133.1M
$539.1M
$244.5M
$1.8B
$1.6B
$1.8B
$1.6B
Margins · last 8Q
Gross
98.9%
Operating
95.8%
Profit
17.3%
Wall Street consensus
Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.
Buy
78%
Hold
22%
Sell
0%
Median Price Target
$23.00
▲ +2.3% vs $22.48
Latest: Piper Sandler · Jul 2, 2026
1 analyst covering