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SPOT

Spotify Technology S.A.

SPOT

NYSE·Communication Services·Internet Content & Information·Mkt cap $97.3B

$487.45

+3.17%

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Our plain-language verdict, the thesis, risk factors, and what is changing about the business.

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52-Week Range

$405.00 - $748.30

P/E

45.34

Fwd P/E

40.56

Beta

1.55

Div Yield

0.00%

Avg Vol

2.2M

Shares Out

205.8M

Mkt Cap

$97.3B

Price action

Price chart

Down 33.4% over the trailing year

1W
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
MAX

Total returns

Price performance

Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.

Why we rate it this way

The thesis at a glance

Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.

Bull Case

5 reasons

  • Proprietary recommendation algorithm and personalization engine
  • Largest music and podcast content library with exclusive deals
  • Global scale with 184 countries and strong network effects
  • Dual revenue model reducing dependence on single income stream
  • Brand loyalty and user engagement metrics

Bear Case

2 risks

  • Above-average volatility (beta 1.6).
  • High premium - requires strong execution

Growth

Strong growth ahead

Expansion of premium subscriber base in emerging markets

Value

High premium - requires strong execution

Momentum

Stable

-3.4% over 3m

Quality

Stable

Excellent business quality

Dividend

None

No dividend

Earnings track record

Latest print - beat on both lines

AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.

Next: Jul 28, 2026

Q2 26 RECAP

APR 28, 2026

Reported EPS of $4.04 vs $3.41 consensus (+18.5% surprise). Revenue of $5.2B vs $5.2B expected (+0.1%). Beat on both top and bottom lines.

EPS beat +18.5%
Rev beat +0.1%
Double beat

EPS surprise · last 4Q

1 of 1 beats

Q2 26

+18.5%

Next: Jul 28, 2026

Revenue trend · last 8Q

+16%

+15%

+10%

+7%

+7%

+10%

Q2 24

Q3 24

Q4 24

Q1 25

Q2 25

Q3 25

Q4 25

Q1 26

$3.8B

$4.0B

$4.2B

$4.2B

$4.2B

$4.3B

$4.5B

$4.6B

Margins · last 8Q

Gross

32.9%

Operating

15.8%

Profit

15.9%

Wall Street consensus

15 analysts · 87% Buy

Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.

Buy

13

87%

Hold

2

13%

Sell

0%

Median Price Target

$605.00

+24.1% vs $487.45

Low $500.00
Median $605.00
High $745.00

Latest: Cantor Fitzgerald · $520.00 · May 26, 2026

10 analysts covering

vs Industry

How SPOT stacks vs Internet Content & Information

Stock metrics vs industry averages. Green = better than industry.

Industry comparison data unavailable for this stock.