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BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

BABA

NYSE·Consumer Cyclical·Specialty Retail·Mkt cap $235.3B

$95.99

-2.05%

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Our plain-language verdict, the thesis, risk factors, and what is changing about the business.

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52-Week Range

$91.99 - $192.67

P/E

Fwd P/E

1.96

Beta

0.46

Div Yield

1.11%

Avg Vol

11.5M

Shares Out

2.3B

Mkt Cap

$235.3B

Price action

Price chart

Down 11.5% over the trailing year

1W
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
MAX

Total returns

Price performance

Total return across standard periods - splits & dividends adjusted by FMP. Periods longer than 1Y show annualized in the tooltip.

Why we rate it this way

The thesis at a glance

Bull and bear case · plain-English context across the five lenses we evaluate.

Bull Case

6 reasons

  • Integrated ecosystem with network effects across e-commerce, payments, logistics, and advertising
  • Dominant market position in China's e-commerce with Taobao and Tmall commanding massive merchant and consumer bases
  • Advanced technology infrastructure and data analytics capabilities powering personalization and operational efficiency
  • Alimama advertising platform with real-time bidding and performance marketing solutions
  • Cainiao logistics network providing supply chain optimization and last-mile delivery advantages
  • Alibaba Cloud offering comprehensive enterprise solutions with growing regional market share

Bear Case

1 risk

  • Low volatility (beta 0.5).

Growth

Strong growth ahead

Penetration of lower-tier Chinese cities and rural areas with growing digital commerce adoption

Value

Deep value opportunity - significant discount to E-commerce & Marketplaces peers

Momentum

Weak

-19.7% over 3m

Quality

Stable

Solid business

Dividend

Modest

1.11% yield

Earnings track record

Recent earnings results

AI-summarized recap of last quarter, plus the surprise on every print.

Next: Aug 28, 2026

Q2 26 RECAP

MAY 13, 2026

Reported EPS of $0.09 vs $1.22 consensus (-92.6% surprise).

EPS miss

EPS surprise · last 4Q

0 of 1 beats

Q2 26

-92.6%

Next: Aug 28, 2026

Revenue trend · last 8Q

+8%

+7%

+2%

+5%

+0%

Q4 24

Q1 24

Q2 24

Q3 24

Q4 25

Q1 25

Q2 25

Q3 25

$32.8B

$35.9B

$34.9B

$41.4B

$34.9B

$36.6B

$36.6B

$41.5B

Margins · last 8Q

Gross

40.2%

Operating

6.6%

Profit

5.8%

Wall Street consensus

8 analysts · 75% Buy

Live ratings and price targets aggregated across covering analysts.

Buy

6

75%

Hold

2

25%

Sell

0%

Median Price Target

$186.00

+93.8% vs $95.99

Low $185.00
Median $186.00
High $209.00

Latest: Daiwa Capital · Jun 24, 2026

3 analysts covering

vs Industry

How BABA stacks vs Specialty Retail

Stock metrics vs industry averages. Green = better than industry.

Industry comparison data unavailable for this stock.